Dan Schwarz

@dschwarz26

Co-founder @ futuresearch.ai Prev CTO @metaculus, built Google's internal prediction market. Chess, jazz, biking, skiing, and learning.

San Bruno, CA

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Dan Schwarz
@dschwarz26
Aug 3
AI forecasting is now approximately superhuman. Today, FutureSearch is exiting our public beta and launching to everyone. FutureSearch is the original AI forecasting company, started in August 2023. We’re currently #1 of 194 in the most competitive AI forecasting tournament, and
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Dan Schwarz
@dschwarz26
Nov 5
FutureSearch is hiring senior, not-primarily-technical roles for the first time. COO, Director of Partnerships / Strategic Projects, Head of Product, others If you want to predict the future, but in an operational capacity rather than as a researcher, futuresearch.ai/careers/
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Dan Schwarz
@dschwarz26
Oct 17
"90% of horse working hours are spent on tasks not covered well by automobiles."
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Dan Schwarz
@dschwarz26
Oct 2
> Effective altruists fill Silicon Valley, staff the world’s leading artificial-intelligence companies They do? I have found EA's arguments solid since 2013. But it's hardly a "movement". It's a philosophy, like Christianity without divinity, e.g. the golden rule.
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Dan Schwarz
@dschwarz26
Sep 30
Am I missing something, or has Google gone full I/O on Gemini 4, announcing it but not releasing it (or giving a date for a release)? I think the base rate for these types of announcements is that Google ends up releasing the product about 1 year later
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