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Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

DEM Nomination 2028Democratic nominee for the Presidential election to be held on Nov 5 2028

$1,441,109,226 bet so far
Ossoff details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎26.3-26.7%$1,317,549,214
Kalshi 🇺🇸25.0-26.0%$119,688,089
PredictIt 🇺🇸24.0-25.0%$3,733,314
Betfair 🇬🇧28.2-29.0%$128,745
Smarkets 🇬🇧28.2-29.0%$9,938

26.7%

-0.4%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎14.5-14.6%$1,317,549,214
Kalshi 🇺🇸13.0-14.0%$119,688,089
PredictIt 🇺🇸14.0-16.0%$3,733,314
Betfair 🇬🇧14.3-16.1%$128,745
Smarkets 🇬🇧14.3-17.5%$9,938

14.8%

0.3%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎10.7-10.9%$1,317,549,214
Kalshi 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$119,688,089
PredictIt 🇺🇸14.0-15.0%$3,733,314
Betfair 🇬🇧11.1-15.2%$128,745
Smarkets 🇬🇧11.1-12.8%$9,938

12.4%

0.3%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.3-5.4%$1,317,549,214
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.2-5.3%$119,688,089
PredictIt 🇺🇸7.0-8.0%$3,733,314
Betfair 🇬🇧4.5-11.6%$128,745
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.0-5.6%$9,938

6.3%

0.6%
Beshear details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.0-4.1%$1,317,549,214
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.6-4.7%$119,688,089
PredictIt 🇺🇸8.0-9.0%$3,733,314
Betfair 🇬🇧2.6-5.0%$128,745
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.9-5.0%$9,938

5.0%

+0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.9-5.0%$1,317,549,214
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.4-4.5%$119,688,089
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$3,733,314
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-15.2%$128,745
Smarkets 🇬🇧3.5-8.7%$9,938

4.4%

-0.7%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.0-5.1%$1,317,549,214
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.1-5.2%$119,688,089
PredictIt 🇺🇸6.0-7.0%$3,733,314
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-4.0%$128,745
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-4.0%$9,938

3.4%

-0.7%
Warnock details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.3-3.7%$1,317,549,214
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.3-3.4%$119,688,089

3.4%

-0.2%
Pritzker details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.5-1.7%$1,317,549,214
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.3-2.4%$119,688,089
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$3,733,314
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.8%$128,745
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.0-1.3%$9,938

2.2%

0.2%
Moore details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.1-2.4%$1,317,549,214
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.5-2.6%$119,688,089
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$3,733,314
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-3.1%$128,745
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.5-2.0%$9,938

2.0%

-0.4%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$1,317,549,214
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.5-0.6%$119,688,089
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$3,733,314
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-3.1%$128,745
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.7%$9,938

1.0%

+0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.4-0.5%$1,317,549,214
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.9-1.0%$119,688,089
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-2.3%$128,745
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-1.4%$9,938

0.8%

-0.0%
Cooper details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.4-0.6%$1,317,549,214
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.4-0.5%$119,688,089

0.5%

+0.0%
Cuban details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.2%$1,317,549,214
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.6-0.7%$119,688,089

0.4%

+0.0%
Walz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$1,317,549,214
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-0.1%$119,688,089
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-50.0%$128,745
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$9,938

0.1%

-0.0%
Fetterman details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$1,317,549,214
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-0.1%$119,688,089

0.0%

+0.0%

16.4%


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